Fidest – Agenzia giornalistica/press agency

Quotidiano di informazione – Anno 31 n° 321

Archive for 16 agosto 2013

Demand for Luxury Cars Differs Across Global Regions, Says Frost & Sullivan

Posted by fidest press agency su venerdì, 16 agosto 2013

London The global luxury car market moves in different directions across various regions. While the UK market is the only European market to have experienced positive growth in 2012, the U.S. market finds itself in a rebound post recession with buoyant customer confidence. China however, is likely to overtake the U.S. success story by 2015.According to Frost & Sullivan (www.automotive.frost.com) the Global Luxury Vehicle Market is expected to grow from around 5 million cars today to around 10 million cars globally by 2020. This growth is likely to concentrate on the compact segments with 1.4 million cars today growing to 2.6 million cars globally by 2020 as well as the SUV segment with 1.6 million cars today forecast to grow to 2.3 million cars produced globally by 2020.“Baby boomers are the biggest customer group and represent 58 per cent of Merc customers for luxury cars in the North American market,” says Frost & Sullivan Automotive & Transportation Consultant, Mr. Niranjan Thiyagarajan. “Millennium customers on the other hand are expecting entry level luxury cars that offer unparalleled technology and connected services. This has been made evident by plans from luxury makers Daimler and BMW to introduce the CLA sedan and 3 series models at $ 33,000.” Generation X and Y customers in emerging markets such as China, India and Latin America are focusing on compact sporty vehicles. “The largest selling model for Jaguar Landrover has been the Evoque with close to 95,000 in 2012,” Mr. Thiyagarajan continued. “This also means luxury car makers will be hit by lowered profit margins for smaller cars. On the other hand large SUV’s like the Porsche Cayenne have been a massive success prompting manufacturers such as Bentley, Lamborghini and Maserati to consider introducing similar models.” There has been a polarisation in the size of vehicles preferred by premium customers.China remains the most important market despite government austerity policies restricting the purchase of luxury cars for its fleets. This is only a momentary lapse and not expected to halt the luxury market which will grow quicker than the automotive market itself. GM is building its Cadillac plant in Shanghai while Honda plans to introduce Acura cars in China by 2016.“Despite the effects of the double dip recession the luxury car market remains unaffected and a number of native players from the Chinese and Russian market are expected to enter the scene,” concludes Mr. Thiyagarajan. “Connected living and health, wellness and well being are key USPs that OEMs are expected to differentiate themselves on.”(Analyst Comment by Frost & Sullivan Consultant Niranjan Thiyagarajan)

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ASEAN to Emerge as a Key Global Automotive Market and Production Hub by 2019, Says Frost & Sullivan

Posted by fidest press agency su venerdì, 16 agosto 2013

London The ASEAN region offers a significant opportunity to global automakers in the near to medium term, says a new analysis from Frost & Sullivan. The importance of ASEAN as a cluster cannot be denied as the region is likely to be the fifth largest automotive market in the world by 2019.New analysis from Frost & Sullivan (http://www.automotive.frost.com) Strategic Analysis of ASEAN Automotive Outlook finds that the market is likely to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.8 per cent (2012-2019) to reach 4.71 million in 2019, mainly driven by rapid market expansions in Indonesia and Thailand.“The low level of motorization in ASEAN offers strong growth potential for the automotive market, while the heavily-motorized regions of Western Europe and North America represent a saturated “replacement” market,” said Frost & Sullivan Asia Pacific Research Director, Mr. Vijay Rao.“Passenger vehicle segments are likely to dominate the market. Thailand the key pickup market in the region is shifting to passenger vehicles with increased consumer preference for compact, environment friendly eco cars,” he said.Indonesia is expected to emerge as the largest automotive market in ASEAN by 2019, accounting for 2.3 million vehicles, driven by sustained economic growth in the country, growing middle classes with larger disposable incomes, increased investments in automotive sector and introduction of automotive regulations supporting market growth.
Automotive demand in Thailand is also expected to grow driven by an improved economy, more disposable incomes, capacity expansions by automakers, and launch of several new vehicle models. “The Malaysian market is expected to grow supported by foreign model proliferation at competitive price points and by price reduction as a result of market liberalization,” Mr. Rao said.He added that total vehicle production in ASEAN is expected to grow at a CAGR (2012-2019) of 8 per cent to hit 7.05 million units in 2019. “Thailand is likely to continue its dominance as a major production hub in ASEAN due to expected significant capacity expansions, increased export and domestic demand, availability of skilled labor force with a well-developed automotive component industry.”Vehicle production in Indonesia mostly caters to local sales driven mainly by the expected expansion in automotive demand and foreign investment inflow for production expansion. European and Chinese OEMs are looking at Malaysia as an assembly and manufacturing hub to set up production plants.Strategic Analysis of ASEAN Automotive Outlook is part of the Automotive & Transportation Growth Partnership Services program, which also includes research in the following markets: 2020 Vision of the Australian Automotive Aftermarket, CEO 360 Degree Perspective of the Automotive Industry in Myanmar, Strategic Growth Opportunities from AEC Implementation and New Government Policies in ASEAN, Strategic Growth Opportunities of Navigation Systems Market in ASEAN, Analysis of the Advanced Driver Assistance Systems Market in Japan amongst others. All research services included in subscriptions provide detailed market opportunities and industry trends that have been evaluated following extensive interviews with market participants.
Frost & Sullivan, the Growth Partnership Company, works in collaboration with clients to leverage visionary innovation that addresses the global challenges and related growth opportunities that will make or break today’s market participants.Our “Growth Partnership” supports clients by addressing these opportunities and incorporating two key elements driving visionary innovation: The Integrated Value Proposition and The Partnership Infrastructure.

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Hyperloop is a Refreshingly New Direction for Future of Mobility

Posted by fidest press agency su venerdì, 16 agosto 2013

By Frost & Sullivan Analyst Shyam Raman “On August Elon Musk, chief executive of Tesla Motors and SpaceX, finally revealed details of the superfast mode of transportation that he first introduced almost a year ago. Behold the Hyperloop. This new mode aims to be safer, faster, and operable at a lower cost. It also aims to be self powering, resistant to seismic events and immune to the weather.The Hyperloop is envisioned to ideally serve cities that are less than 1,500 km or 900 miles apart. It is expected that hypersonic air travel using scramjet engines will better serve cities that are further placed from each other. The Hyperloop works by transporting high-speed transport capsules in a dedicated tube, which is partially evacuated. Previous ideas of high-speed rail involved evacuated tubes (vacuum) to reduce the detrimental effects of friction, induced and form drag. As objects travel faster in air, a high-pressure zone is created in front of the object. The object then has to spend more energy to trounce this high pressure energy created in front of its direction of motion. The Hyperloop aims to overcome this challenge by using a high pressure centrifugal compressor mounted in the front of the vehicle that would actively transfer high pressure from the front to the rear of the vehicle. By redirecting some portion of the intake air and ejecting it to the periphery of the vehicle, an “air cushion” can be created. Acceleration and deceleration is provided by a linear induction motor that is in development. They will be used to provide a “re-boost” every 70 miles. Using a linear motor lowers material cost, weight and simplifies in balancing of the vehicle. The Hyperloop also features energy storage using lithium ion batteries. Using batteries reduces the energy drawn for the linear motors to a theoretical value of 6 MW. The additional power requirements are met from energy generated from solar arrays.Yet the Hyperloop is not the only radical transport solution currently in the works, the Canadian firm Magnovate aims to commercialize Magline, its proprietary magnetic levitation solution. Magnetic levitation trains are propelled by linear electric motors float on a magnetic cushion and have no direct contact with the track. Maglines maximum design speed will be 300 miles (500 km) per hour on intercity connections and up to 90 miles (150km) per hour in the urban environment. Magline vehicles are smaller and are similar to personal rapid transit vehicles. Magline further improves on system economics by utilizing a “packet switching” model that enables offline stops without slowing traffic on the mainline. This enables more vehicles that are not connected to one another to run more often on the network. A project is being developed to connect the cities of Edmonton and Calgary with a Magline track. The planned length will be just over 180 miles (300km) and is expected to cost $3.60 billion USD. The current travel time of three hours by road and 1.5 hours by air will be reduced to less than 45 minutes by Magline – small vehicle on a small guideway with high speed magnetic levitation achieved by using a revolutionary technology called stabilized permanent magnate suspension.
The high speed rail research group at Frost & Sullivan recently published a global research titled “Rail Outlook Study 2013–2022” The study found that the global high speed rail has enormous interest levels with a total expected investment funding of over $770.23 billion USD by 2022 in high speed rail infrastructure with over $60 billion expected in North America through California high speed rail. The integration of mobility is driving growth in all rail segments globally. Demand for improved efficiency in the rail industry will drive the market for advanced asset and fleet management tools, including remote diagnostics (or prognostics), passenger information and asset planning. Recent research has shown that intelligent solutions such as rail automation that help increase efficiency without compromising on safety are seeing dramatically high interest levels. (The radio-based communication-based train control (CBTC) network in Western Europe is expected to grow at a CAGR of 22.8 percent over the next 10 years according to another recent Frost & Sullivan study “Strategic Analysis Of Western European Urban Rail Signalling: Communication Based Train Control Systems” (http://www.frost.com/sublib/display-report.do?id=M92D-01-00-00-00)).Although the Hyperloop is still conceptual and there is enormous amounts of work pending to prove the physics of its working, it can still be considered as a significant breakthrough in high-speed mass transportation for two main reasons. First, the technology and intellectual property has been floated to the public as an open source transportation solution. Secondly, the approach to Hyperloop has been from the ground up. It is so refreshing to see a concept where every element from tracks, vehicles, stations etc. has been visualized from a 2020 perspective; it does not involve iterations of technologies from the past.Based on recent research conducted by Frost & Sullivan, we strongly believe that there is a gradual transition in the way that information technology is being integrated in transportation systems. It is not only being implemented and enabling new technologies and applications in transportation; it is also becoming inherent and an integral element. It is expected that transit systems of the future will be sentient, self sustaining and cognitive in nature.”

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Libia: in pericolo il processo di democratizzazione

Posted by fidest press agency su venerdì, 16 agosto 2013

In seguito alle manifestazioni berbere davanti al Congresso Nazionale Libico a Tripoli, l’Associazione per i Popoli Minacciati (APM) mette in guardia dal pericolo di una mancata democratizzazione della Libia. Secondo l’APM, il paese potrà superare in modo credibile la politica di forzata arabizzazione imposta dall’ex dittatore Gheddafi solo concedendo alle minoranze non arabe dei Berberi, Tuareg e Toubou un’adeguata partecipazione alla vita politica del paese.Il basso numero di mandati di rappresentanza concesso dal Parlamento libico alle minoranze per l’Assemblea costituente ha fatto infuriare le minoranze del paese e ha creato i presupposti per la manifestazione del 13 agosto, durante la quale qualche centinaio di manifestanti ha preso d’assalto e devastato il Parlamento di Tripoli. I manifestanti hanno minacciato il boicottaggio delle votazioni per l’Assemblea costituente e scioperi nell’industria petrolifera.Lo scorso 16 luglio il Congresso Nazionale Libico ha emanato una legge che concede a Berberi (Masiri), Tuareg e Toubou solamente due mandati per gruppo etnico all’interno dell’assemblea costituente. Oltre ai complessivamente sei mandati riservati ai rappresentanti delle minoranze, il Congresso libico ha concesso solo sei mandati anche alle rappresentanti delle donne nonostante queste costituiscano il 49% della popolazione. Alle proteste del Supremo Consiglio dei Masiri, del Supremo Consiglio dei Tuareg e dell’Assemblea Nazionale dei Toubou si sono quindi aggiunte le proteste delle associazioni e organizzazioni femminili del paese. Gli scioperi indetti nel 2012 da Tuareg e Toubou per chiedere un miglioramento delle condizioni di lavoro nell’industria petrolifera avevano bloccato per diversi giorni la produzione di petrolio nel sud della Libia. Ogni giorno di sciopero comporta per la Libia una perdita di entrate fino a 50 milioni di dollari USA.Secondo l’APM, la stabilità nel paese può essere raggiunta unicamente attraverso una reale democratizzazione e una vera partecipazione di tutte le realtà libiche alla vita del paese. La stabilità libica è importante anche per i paesi europei che in larga parte importano petrolio dal paese nordafricano e che quindi dovrebbero sostenere l’avvio di un vero processo democratico in Libia.

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