Fidest – Agenzia giornalistica/press agency

Quotidiano di informazione – Anno 34 n° 349

Where next for Ukraine’s army?

Posted by fidest press agency su domenica, 25 settembre 2022

On Monday much of the world will be watching the state funeral for Queen Elizabeth. We’ve published a cover story on Britain entering the Carolean era, noting the strange success of the constitutional monarchy. This new piece, meanwhile, reflects on how Britons have reacted in the past few days. But my favourite recent article concerns Britons’ peculiar obsession with queuing, as the many thousands in London who shuffled past the queen’s coffin have just demonstrated. Once you’ve read about the economics of queues, it may forever change your experience of lining up.Joe Biden, one of a large cast of world leaders in London at the start of the week, heads to New York to address the UN General Assembly mid-week. I’ll be listening out for two themes. One concerns the environment: this autumn, in Egypt, world leaders are to gather for COP27, the latest round of annual UN talks on climate change. America, at last, can offer more leadership on the subject. Having passed legislation that should bring down carbon emissions in the coming decade, Mr Biden has some authority to press more countries to do the same.The second theme, naturally, is the war in Ukraine. America’s bet on supplying advanced weaponry and other support to Ukraine is beginning to pay off. We have written repeatedly about the unfolding counter-offensive—including, in some places, the rout of Russian forces—and we are intrigued to see what pressure now builds on Vladimir Putin. Abroad, Russia’s neighbours look emboldened in the face of his apparent weakness. India’s prime minister, Narendra Modi, told Mr Putin it was time to end the war. At home Mr Putin will have a tougher job telling his population that he is infallible. Our cover story for much of the world argues that Ukraine, if given the tools, can finish the job of pushing back Russia’s forces. Quite what future is in store for Russia itself, or for Mr Putin, is hard for anyone to predict.This is an important week for central banks around the world. We’ve just argued that the Federal Reserve, when it meets mid-week, should go big and bold in pushing up rates if it really expects to defeat inflation. That bodes ill for economic growth—and the odds of avoiding recession in America look grim—but it’s better to signal a strong move early, rather than drag out incremental rises over a prolonged period. Others setting monetary policy, including in Britain (where a special budget is also due), will keep our economics writers busy.Let me point you to another “Economist reads”—our guide to the handful of books you should turn to to get a good sense of travel writing by female authors. We will also be reflecting on the remarkable phenomenon that is Roger Federer, who is set to retire from professional tennis at the end of this week. Finally, some election news. Our correspondent held a lengthy interview with Lula, a former president in Brazil who we think is likely to be elected again. Look out for our report on that in the next day or two. And keep an eye out, too, for our forthcoming package of reporting and analysis on Italy’s imminent election. Just as Sweden is likely to be ruled by a coalition that includes a right-wing party with extremist roots, will Italy be ruled by a harder-right government?Thanks for your many notes and emails. Vas Charitos, in Britain, writes in favour of having an “apolitical head of state”. I would agree, though I personally don’t see much merit in the position being hereditary. You wouldn’t invent a monarchy today, if you were starting from scratch. Many of you wrote to discuss Ukraine and Russia. Paul Dee asks if Ukraine has relinquished the idea of retaking Crimea which, as he notes, would be an immensely difficult task. My comment is that the city of Kherson, still occupied by the Russians but under pressure, matters for many reasons and one is its importance in controlling the approach to Crimea. Were Ukraine to retake Kherson, then Russia’s control of Crimea would be less comfortable in the long run.Last, Janet Ulyate, a farmer in Tanzania, suggests more attention should be paid to agriculture in Ukraine and to the war’s impact on world food supplies. My two-sentence (slightly optimistic) response, Janet, is this: In looking at energy supplies, and prices, consumers should still be deeply alarmed. But as we wrote last month, there’s more relief for food, after exports of grains, cereals and oils restarted, and the price for many of these goods have all returned to levels last seen before the war began. By Adam Roberts Digital editor The Economist

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